Blogging about college football by an Oklahoma Sooners fan.

Golden Nugget Releases Early Lines

Golden Nugget
Friday served as Christmas in June for college football gamblers, as the otherwise irrelevant Golden Nugget – subject of one of the biggest reality television letdowns in history – released early lines on their "games of the year" for 2011. (Props to for compiling these.) has subsequently updated the board with some of the major moves.

Here's a look at the opening lines for the OU games, complete with a comparison against my predictions and some thoughts:


Tulsa at OU (-21)
(Prediction: N/A)

Notes: Only in the desert is this considered a "game of the year." If I had given a prediction on this one, this is exactly where I would've pegged it. Seems like three scores is about what the books always give these matchups of top AQ teams and solid mid-majors.

OU (-3.5) at Florida State
(Prediction: OU -3.5)

Notes: Nail meet head. As I also suspected, sharps bet this down to a field goal pretty quickly. OU fans need to realize that this is essentially a toss-up and that getting points at home with this year's edition of FSU is a solid proposition.

Missouri at OU (-13)
(Prediction: OU -12)

Notes: Again, pretty much in synch. OU historically gets revenge in Norman and does so ruthlessly.

OU (-8) vs. Texas
(Prediction: OU -7)

Notes: For this rivalry, this number seems a little high, doesn't it?

Texas A&M at OU (-7.5)
(Prediction: OU -9)

Notes: Vegas is definitely drinking the maroon Kool-Aid. If things hold true to form, this is the only game where A&M will be a 'dog this year. I'm still a little skeptical.

OU (-2) at Oklahoma State
(Prediction: OU -7.5)

Notes: Alright, I clearly misfired badly on Bedlam. Interesting to note that the linesmakers initially have the Pokes a point and a half closer to the Sooners than they do FSU. This is scary, Sooner Nation.

A few other observations from the day's activity:

*Georgia seemed to be the early darling. Every game moved UGa's way, and the sharp bettors clearly pounded the Bulldogs in the opener against Boise State. The Broncos moved from a 6 point favorite to a virtual toss-up at -1.5.

*Other squads getting some love: LSU, BYU, Clemson.

Gene Chizik*In contrast to Georgia, the sharps must have faded Auburn with a vengance. Gene Chizik's fancy new contract extension be damned – that's a lot of Wilson's Leather – there's a lot not to like about Auburn this year. Still, that team has boatloads of talent.

*Michigan got killed, too. Presumably bettors see the lack of fit between the personnel recruited by RichRod and Brady Hoke's predilections.

*The lines provide a good indication of how exciting the opening weekend with Oregon-LSU and UGa-Boise will be.

*Be prepared for the onslaught of Notre Dame hype. The Fightin' Irish must have attracted a ton of money today, just judging by the line moves. ND is such a public team, but I wonder if the sharps are on its side this season.